Russian propaganda can be classified into three broad categories, and until recently only the last contained aggressive messages, according to Kseniya Kirillova, an investigative journalist who also provides analysis for The Jamestown Foundation. But now things have changed, and Moscow has inserted aggressive notions in the other two as well, marking an effort to mobilize a population increasingly alienated from the regime.
Ms. Kirillova described the three main kinds of Russian propaganda and the way that each has changed. And she pointed out that behind this aggressiveness in propaganda lies an effort to justify more aggressive repression against the regime’s opponents (ru.krymr.com/a/rossiyskaya-propaganda-novyy-etap/31470589.html).
The first kind of Russian propaganda contains “disorienting content, directed at discrediting the notion of truth as such,” Ms. Kirillova said. Its message is not inherently aggressive but rather is intended to make people suspicious of everything they hear and thus unwilling to accept anyone’s arguments or even facts.
The second kind features defensive content and promotes the idea that Russia is “a besieged fortress surrounded by enemies.” But it too is not inherently aggressive. It calls on the population to defend their system against attack, but it normally does not include calls to respond to these attacks by pursuing aggression against their originators.
Only the third kind, which is centered around “aggressive content,” has done that in the past. For example, Moscow has called for the destruction of Ukraine and responding to any attack by carrying the battle back to those responsible for launching it.
“However,” Ms. Kirillova said, “in the last year there has been a clear tendency to increase the percentage of aggressive content” not only in explicitly aggressive messages but also to “change and reorient other kinds of content so as to provide direct justification of aggression” by Russians against others and by the Russian state against its domestic opponents.
This shift is most clearly seen in propaganda involving “disorienting content.” It now argues that the source of any criticism of the powers that be is “the result of ‘a special operation of the West’ and therefore is false by definition;” and it is designed to create the impression that “the main source of fakes is not the powers but their opponents” who thus must not be believed, Ms. Kirillova said.
“If earlier disorienting propaganda stopped at this, having created the illusion that it is senseless to search for objective truth in such circumstances, then now the propagandistic conception has itself changed,” the analyst said. Now the powers are saying that truth exists and is whatever the Russian authorities say it is. Only everything else is false.
That justifies information wars, attacks on Russian journalists and attacks on the West as well. In this way, Ms. Kirillova said, “even disorienting content in this case is being reoriented to include calls for aggression and is only a subtext for attempts to draw the population to anti-Western propaganda” and to support the idea that the enemies of the state must be destroyed.
Similar changes have occurred in defensive propaganda messaging as well, the analyst said. Now the defense of the state does not end with a call for vigilance but rather a call for action. There is good reason to think, however, that this shift is in some ways an act of desperation by the authorities who can no longer count on the population to accept what they say.
Instead, they have to ramp up their messages in the hopes that at least some Russians now wavering in support of the Kremlin will change course on the basis of the illusion that Russia is at war with the world at home and abroad and come to believe that they have to defend it regardless of how they feel about much of what Moscow does.
Paul Goble is a long-time specialist on ethnic and religious questions in Eurasia. The article above is reprinted with permission from his blog called “Window on Eurasia” (http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/).